Category Archives: counting things

Calipari, Coach K and Self hoard talent like robber barons. Izzo’s Izzo.

Another draft, another June, another Calipari recruit.

Another draft, another June, another Calipari recruit.

Tonight Kentucky (ranked No. 1 in the nation), Michigan State (2), Duke (4) and Kansas (5) will get together in Chicago for what is being billed as the greatest concentration of college hoops talent under one roof since…take your pick. (The 2008 Final Four? The 1979 national championship game? Anytime Oscar Robertson is indoors?)

Blue-chippers will indeed be lurking under every set of Beats in the United Center this evening, but before we get to counting those noses let’s acknowledge one curious analytical note. Tom Izzo is a bold iconoclast on this whole “winning requires NBA talent” thing.  Continue reading

The fouls outside and the pictures in our heads

Ah, Marcus Thornton and the 2009 SEC, truly the golden age of college hoops. Wait, what?...

Ah, Marcus Thornton and the 2009 SEC, when the game was “open” and offenses “flowed,” truly the golden age of college hoops. Wait, what?…

We now have three days of the 2013-14 season under our belts, more than enough hoops to hand out some awards:

Player of the Year: Trevor Cooney, Syracuse (an effective FG percentage of 112.5 is quite good)
Coach of the Year: Tom Izzo, Michigan State (the “forfeit” line was precious)

Congratulations, everyone. And as for that whole business about the rulebook and the number of foul calls we’ve seen this season, here’s one admittedly subjective tour-guide’s quick narration of the still shifting terrain. Continue reading

Could the Big Ten’s pace be normal this year?

TWBH

For a few years now this Big Ten graduate has kept a bottle of bubbly on ice to be opened only when the league is no longer the nation’s slowest major conference. At the time I started my tradition, I fancied that I was following the ritual started by veterans of the 1972 Miami Dolphins, who drink a toast each year when the last remaining undefeated NFL team loses a game. The only difference here, of course, is that Bob Griese and Larry Csonka get to sip their sparkling wine annually, while I’ve never tasted mine.

At least last year was notably suspenseful: Continue reading

Kansas is your team of the century so far

yoeli

Sometimes I feel like we make evaluating performance more difficult than it needs to be. Like when I see people touting a point guard who shoots 29 percent on his threes as the preseason national POY. What if he golfed? “We’re pleased to announce our choice as the 2014 PGA Preseason Player of the Year. The one facet of his game that could use improvement is recording fewer strokes over 18 holes.”

Anyway, in the spirit of straightforward evaluation, here are your teams of the century. There’s a good chance Nebraska, Northwestern, Oregon State, Providence, Rutgers and South Carolina will all merit mention here sometime before 2099. Their inspiration should be Minnesota, which just made the list in 2013. Continue reading

Reigning Final Four teams, preseason polls and recency effect

The ACC held its media day this week, and the assembled members of the press caught my eye by picking Syracuse to finish second in the league behind Duke. That struck me as a tad rosy for a team that lost three starters from a group that outscored the Big East by just 0.07 points per trip last year.

If indeed the ACC’s pollsters are viewing the world through Orange-colored glasses, my first ad hoc speculation was that this might be due to recency effect. Maybe the voters are thinking back to the incredible defense this team played on its way to the Final Four — and not of the more normal D this same team played during the Big East regular season.

That in turn led me to wonder whether past Final Four teams have been overrated in ensuing preseason league media polls. It turns out the answer to that question is a somewhat qualified yes….

Continue reading